ASML Share Price USD: Buy, Hold, or Sell? (2026 Analysis)

Current ASML Share Price (USD): $1,794.62 · Day Change: -2.5% · 52-Week High: $1,959.04 · 52-Week Low: $1,200.10 · Market Cap: $275 Billion · Forward P/E Ratio: 28.4

Six key facts about ASML, one pattern: the company’s commanding position in lithography is matched by a valuation that demands scrutiny from investors.

What is the current ASML share price in USD?

As of the latest closing print on June 25, 2026, ASML Holding shares on NASDAQ trade at $1,794.62. The intraday session ranged between $1,767.64 and $1,809.00, with daily volume of about 2.3 million shares (MarketBeat). On the Euronext Amsterdam listing, the stock closed at roughly €1,670 after conversion, a difference that reflects currency fluctuation and trading liquidity (Investing.com).

What is the NASDAQ closing price for ASML?

• NASDAQ close: $1,794.62 (MarketBeat)
• 52-week high: $1,959.04; 52-week low: $1,200.10 (MarketWatch)

What is the Euronext closing price for ASML?

• Euronext close: approximately €1,670 (Leverage Shares)
• EUR/USD exchange rate impact on dual listing (Investing.com)

How often are these prices updated?

Live quotes update continuously during trading hours. For after-hours moves, check platforms like MarketWatch or MarketBeat.

The implication: the slight discount to the peak leaves room for a rebound if catalysts materialize.

Is ASML a buy, hold, or sell?

The analyst community leans decisively positive, though with notable caveats. Out of 32 analysts tracked by MarketBeat, roughly 68% rate ASML a “Buy,” 25% a “Hold,” and 7% a “Sell.” The average twelve-month price target stands at $1,772.63, implying a slight downside of 1.23% from the current price — but the wide range ($1,150 low to $2,345 high) reveals sharp disagreement.

What do analysts recommend for ASML?

• Buy: 68%, Hold: 25%, Sell: 7% (MarketBeat)
• Median price target: $2,050 (based on analyst estimates)

What is the consensus rating?

The consensus is a Moderate Buy. Recent upgrades from UBS, Citi, Deutsche Bank, and RBC Capital after the Q1 2026 earnings report pushed sentiment higher (Leverage Shares). BofA raised its target to $2,200, citing a strong FY27 order book (MarketWatch).

What is the average price target?

• Average target: $1,772.63 (MarketBeat)
• High target: $2,345.00; Low target: $1,150.00 (MarketBeat)

The catch: the narrow buffer leaves little margin for error in near-term trading.

Why is ASML falling so much?

ASML’s stock has endured two distinct shocks in the past year. The first came in July 2025, when CEO Christophe Fouquet told investors the company “could no longer confirm growth in 2026,” triggering an 11% single-day plunge — the steepest since October 2024 (Fortune). The second wave hit in early 2026, as export control fears deepened, pushing the stock down another 8%.

What are the recent drivers of the decline?

• Q4 2025 earnings miss due to delayed customer orders (Fortune)
• Export control uncertainty around China sales (Investing.com)
• Semiconductor cycle downturn affecting equipment orders

Is the dip industry-wide or ASML-specific?

The sell-off is partly sector-wide — Applied Materials and Lam Research also corrected — but ASML’s EUV monopoly makes it a proxy for both hopes and fears about chip demand. The stock has recovered 35% in 2026 so far (Leverage Shares), suggesting the market has priced in a rebound.

How does the drop compare to historical corrections?

The 11% drop in July 2025 was ASML’s steepest single-day fall in 20 months. Historical drawdowns of 15–20% have occurred in 2022 and 2023 during broader tech routs. The current 8.4% decline from the 52-week high is moderate by comparison.

What this means: the risk of further sharp drops remains if export control news turns negative.

Is ASML overvalued or undervalued?

With a trailing P/E of 32.1 and a forward P/E of 28.4, ASML trades at a premium to the semiconductor equipment peer group. Applied Materials (AMAT) has a forward P/E of about 18, while Lam Research (LRCX) trades at roughly 20 (MarketWatch). The premium is justified by ASML’s monopoly in EUV lithography, but DCF models yield fair value estimates near $1,600–$1,800 per share (Simply Wall St).

What are ASML’s current valuation multiples?

• P/E (TTM): 32.1
• P/S: 9.4
• EV/EBITDA: 24.5
• Dividend yield: 0.6%

How does it compare to historical averages?

ASML’s 5-year average P/E is around 28. The current multiple is 15% above that, indicating the market is pricing in above-average growth — a bet on AI-driven EUV demand.

What do intrinsic valuation models suggest?

Simply Wall St estimates a fair value range of $1,600–$1,800 per share, a 10–15% discount to the current market price. That leaves little margin of safety for new buyers.

The pattern: the market is paying a premium for certainty of monopoly, not for cheapness.

Where will ASML stock be in 5 years?

The bull case rests on ASML’s unchallenged dominance in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography, the only technology capable of printing the most advanced chips. With AI requiring ever-finer geometries, EUV demand could grow at a 10–15% compound annual rate through 2030 (Simply Wall St). Analysts project a 5-year price target in the $2,800–$3,200 range, implying a potential annual return of 10–12% from current levels.

What are the long-term growth drivers?

• EUV monopoly: ASML is the sole supplier of EUV systems (Simply Wall St)
• AI and HPC demand driving need for smaller nodes
• Expected CAGR of semiconductor equipment market: 8–12%

What is the expected CAGR?

Based on analyst projections, a 5-year CAGR of 10–12% is achievable if EUV order growth stays on track. The raised 2026 sales outlook (€36–40 billion) already signals strong momentum (Investing.com).

What risks could derail the outlook?

• Export controls tightening further (Investing.com)
• Alternative technologies (nanoimprint, high-NA EUV competition from Canon)
• Cyclical downturn in chip demand

The implication: long-term investors need to accept periodic 20–30% drawdowns as the price of holding a monopoly in a cyclical industry.

Who is ASML’s biggest competitor?

ASML’s competitive moat is formidable: it holds a near-100% share of the EUV lithography market. Applied Materials and Lam Research compete in related segments — deposition, etching, and wafer processing — but they do not make lithography systems. Canon and Nikon offer deep ultraviolet (DUV) tools, but have effectively ceded EUV to ASML (MarketWatch).

How does ASML compare to Applied Materials?

• ASML market cap: $275B; Applied Materials: $130B (MarketWatch)
• Revenue (TTM): ASML ~€36B; AMAT ~$26B
• EUV monopoly vs. broader deposition/etch portfolio

How does ASML compare to Lam Research?

• Lam Research market cap: ~$80B
• Focus on etch and deposition, no lithography
• R&D spend: ASML ~€4.5B vs. Lam ~$3B

Does ASML face any threat from Canon or Nikon?

Canon and Nikon produce DUV systems but have not entered EUV successfully. ASML’s installed base of EUV tools and its high-NA EUV roadmap create an enormous switching cost for chipmakers (Simply Wall St).

The catch: no competition also means no external pressure to accelerate innovation beyond its own roadmap.

Timeline

• 2025 Q4: Earnings miss driven by delayed customer orders, stock drops 12% (Fortune)
• Early 2026: Export control concerns deepen; share price falls another 8% (Investing.com)
• June 2026: BofA raises price target to $2,200 citing strong FY27 order book; stock recovers slightly (MarketWatch)
• Q2 2026: Wells Fargo maintains overweight rating, price target raised to $2,200 (Leverage Shares)

Clarity

Confirmed facts

• ASML is the sole supplier of EUV lithography machines. (MarketWatch)
• Current price (June 25, 2026 close) is $1,794.62 on NASDAQ. (MarketBeat)
• Analyst consensus is Buy with a median price target of $2,050. (MarketWatch)

What’s unclear

• Whether the current valuation is justified given cyclical semiconductor demand. (MarketBeat)
• The exact trajectory of export control regulations. (Investing.com)
• The timing and magnitude of a potential recovery to 52-week highs. (MarketWatch)

Quotes

“While we still prepare for growth in 2026, we cannot confirm it at this stage.”

— Christophe Fouquet, CEO of ASML (Fortune)

BofA raises its price target for ASML to $2,200, citing a strong FY27 order book.

— BofA analyst (MarketWatch)

For investors in the GE Vernova Stock Price Today (GEV): Live Quote & Forecast space, the divergence is instructive: ASML’s growth story depends on an entirely different set of technologies and regulations.

What this means: ASML’s stock has already rebounded 35% in 2026, yet the 52-week low shows how quickly sentiment can turn. The next catalyst is the Q2 2026 earnings report on July 15. For those comparing 100 USD to SGD: Convert US Dollars to Singapore Dollars Rate, currency moves also matter for dual-listed stocks like ASML.

For U.S. investors, the decision is clear: hold if you believe in the EUV monopoly through 2030, but consider a partial sale if the stock hits $2,200 before a clear catalyst. For those on the sidelines, a pullback to the $1,600 level would offer a better risk/reward entry.

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