VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich: History, Prediction, Live Stream

Few matchups in German football carry the weight of expectation quite like VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich. With a venue change to the Allianz Arena for the August 28, 2026 Bundesliga clash, the fixture renews a rivalry defined by Bayern’s overwhelming 75 wins across 116 meetings across all competitions.

Last Bundesliga meeting: Bayern Munich 4-2 Stuttgart ·
German Cup Final 2026: Bayern Munich 3-0 Stuttgart ·
Stuttgart’s biggest win over Bayern: 1-4 ·
Bayern’s biggest win over Stuttgart: 4-0

Eight facts from the head-to-head record, one pattern: Bayern’s dominance is nearly total across every dataset, yet the methods for counting matches diverge.

The implication: Stuttgart enters with a statistical mountain to climb, but their one emphatic win shows the upset is possible.

A closer look at the numbers reveals the gap in recent form and historical dominance.

Has Stuttgart ever won the Bundesliga?

VfB Stuttgart’s Bundesliga titles

• Stuttgart won the Bundesliga three times: 1983-84, 1991-92, 2006-07
• Stuttgart’s last Bundesliga title was in 2006-07

Stuttgart’s other major honors

• Stuttgart have also won the DFB-Pokal (German Cup) three times (1954, 1958, 1997)
• They last won the DFB-Pokal in 1997

The pattern: Stuttgart’s last league title came 19 seasons ago. The gap to Bayern’s decade of sustained dominance is wide, but Stuttgart’s trophy cabinet suggests a club that knows how to win when conditions align.

Who is Bayern’s biggest rival?

Bayern’s traditional rival: 1860 Munich

• TSV 1860 Munich is a historical local rival but has been less competitive since 1860’s relegation from the Bundesliga in 2004

The ‘Derby’ against Borussia Dortmund

• Borussia Dortmund is widely considered Bayern’s biggest rival due to recent title battles, particularly between 2010 and 2023
• Dortmund finished second to Bayern in several seasons and broke their streak by winning the 2023-24 Bundesliga

Why this matters: For Stuttgart, Bayern’s rivalry with Dortmund overshadows the fixture, meaning Stuttgart often enters as the underdog story rather than a genuine title threat. That can work to their advantage—less pressure, more freedom to counter.

The irony: Stuttgart could learn from Dortmund’s title breakthrough to unsettle Bayern.

Who won the last 5 Bundesligas?

Bundesliga champions 2020-2025

Bayern dominated the last five seasons, with one exception from Leverkusen.

Bayer Leverkusen’s 2023-24 title broke Bayern’s streak of 11 consecutive Bundesliga crowns, a run that began in 2012-13. Bayern have since reclaimed the title in 2024-25 under their current squad.

The pattern: Bayern’s streak may be formidable, but Leverkusen’s breakthrough proves it is not unbreakable, offering Stuttgart a blueprint for an upset.

What is the prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich?

Betting odds overview

• Based on recent results, Bayern are heavy favorites—their 4-2 Bundesliga win and 3-0 German Cup Final victory over Stuttgart in 2026 underscore the gap
• According to SoccerTonic (soccer prediction site), Bayern had a 60.61% win probability for a previous meeting, with a draw at 24.39%

Key players to watch

• Bayern’s attack averages 4.0 goals per match across recent fixtures, while Stuttgart averages 2.4 (AiScore match stats aggregator)
• Stuttgart’s defensive record shows 1.0 goals conceded per match compared to Bayern’s 0.8

The catch: Stuttgart have not beaten Bayern since a reported 1-4 win, with that match’s exact date unspecified. The form data suggests Bayern control the rhythm, but Stuttgart’s scoring rate indicates they can punish mistakes.

How can I watch VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich live?

TV channel availability

• The match is broadcast on Sky Sport (Germany), DAZN (selected regions), and ESPN (US) (ESPN)

Streaming options

• Live streaming is available via the Bundesliga’s official website, as well as Sky Go, DAZN, and ESPN+
• Official club websites (fcbayern.com) also provide matchday coverage and live updates

Why this matters: For international viewers, the broadcast rights may differ by region—check local listings on Sky, DAZN, or ESPN ahead of the 18:30 UTC kickoff.

The pattern: Bayern have won every recent encounter by at least two goals, with the exception of Stuttgart’s 1-4 win in an unspecified season. The trajectory suggests a high-scoring affair.

The implication: While the major facts are solid, gaps in the historical record mean some comparisons rely on best estimates rather than confirmed data.

“Bayern are heavy favorites based on recent results.”

— SoccerTonic (soccer prediction site)

“Stuttgart have not beaten Bayern since a 1-4 win.”

— Eurorivals (historical match database)

The forward stake: For Stuttgart fans in the Allianz Arena on August 28, the choice is clear—back a defensive masterclass that limits Bayern’s 4.0-goal-per-match attack, or hope for that 1-4 magic to resurface. Anything less than a disciplined counter will likely see Bayern extend a winning streak that already spans three competitions.

For a deeper look at the historical head-to-head record, this preview sets the stage for the Bundesliga clash on August 28, 2026.

Frequently asked questions